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Collective Intelligence Summit:
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| Time | Interaction | Speaker |
| 8:00 - 8:15 | Continental Breakfast and Registration | Staff |
| 8:15 - 8:30 |
Introduction, Agenda, Logistics
Collective Intelligence Summit
|
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| 8:30 - 9:00 |
Enterprise Intelligence Markets Opening Remarks Enterprise Collective Intelligence: Leading Effective Enterprise CI |
Dennis P. O'Donoghue
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| 9:00 - 9:45 |
Enterprise Prediction Markets Enterprise Foresight: Enterprise Prediction Markets |
 Christel Alvarez Account Executive  |
| 9:45 - 10:15 |
Enterprise Prediction Markets Effective Social Media: Achieving Change |
 Emily Warn Founder  |
| 10:15 - 10:30 | Morning Break | All |
| 11:00 - 11:45 |
Next Practices Cost-Benefit Analysis A Guide Benefit-Cost Analysis Center |
 Richard O. Zerbe, Jr. Associate Dean for Academics Daniel J. Evans Professor of Public Affairs  |
| 11:45 - 12:30 |
Prediction Markets Iowa Electronic Health Markets:  |
 George Neumann George Daly Research Professor of Economics  |
| 12:30 -1:30 | Prediction Markets Leaders Luncheon | |
| 1:30 - 2:15 |
Competitive Intelligence Crowdsourcing: Leveraging the Crowd for Business Results  |
 Sharon Chiarella Vice President Mechanical Turk  |
| 2:15 - 3:00 |
Competitive Intelligence Competitive Intelligence and Prediction Markets Research Frontiers |
Arik Johnson
Founder and Managing Director  |
| 3:00 - 3:15 | Afternoon Break & Refreshments | All |
| 3:15 - 4:00 |
Collective Intelligence Enterprise Prediction Markets |
Olav Opedal
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| 4:00 - 4:45 |
Competitive Intelligence Will Social Capitalism Replace the Corporation? Meet the New Org Chart |
Dan Robles |
| 5:00 | Spring 2010 Adjournment | |
About Sponsors
About Consensus Point -- http:/consensuspoint.com/
Consensus
Point, a Nashville based company, is the leading provider of enterprise
prediction markets serving corporations and government. Formerly known as
Foresight Technologies, Consensus Point has over 15 years of experience
providing enterprise prediction markets, Consensus Point offers a comprehensive
collective intelligence solution, including Software as a Service (SaaS) with
on-demand or on-site licenses, consulting services, and support. The company
helps customers reduce the risk of uncertainty, improve revenue through accurate
forecasts of products and services, and manage projects with immediate insight
into future completion dates and budgets. Prediction markets provide viable
prospective business insights that compliment other useful information tools by
aggregating the tacit knowledge from employees, customers, and/or partners about
your most critical business initiatives.
Since
1995, Aurora WDC has helped its global clientele identify and manage
competitive threats and opportunities in diverse industries, in ways they can
immediately put to use. Confronting and overcoming clients' most challenging
intelligence roadblocks isn't easy; it requires primary research, incisive
analysis, advanced training, and expert implementation advice alongside programs
combining these disciplines to help your organization meet its collective
intelligence objectives.
About Iowa Electronic Health Markets -- http://iehm.uiowa.edu/
The
Iowa Electronic Health Markets is a research project at the University of
Iowa exploring the use of prediction markets as a tool for disease surveillance.
By combining the strengths of prediction markets with the knowledge of our
trading community from around the world, our hope is that these markets will
report future infectious disease activity quickly enough to be clinically
useful.
About Prediction Market Clusters -- http://www.pmcluster.com
The
Prediction Market Clusters, founded in 2004 in Silicon Valley, are the
global industry commons and open community for prediction markets and collective
intelligence networks worldwide. The open, agnostic community is a focused
collaboration network of vendors, academia, traders, users, developers, markets,
regulators and stakeholders. The goal is to provide awareness, diffusion,
adoption and pull-through for enterprise, institutional and consumer prediction
markets. PM Clusters conduct popular, distributed leadership retreats for
prediction markets, Wisdom of Crowds, collective intelligence networks and
collaborative enterprise forecasting.
Abstract and Benefits
What are Prediction Markets?
Also known as information markets, decision markets, idea
futures, and virtual markets, prediction markets are speculative markets created
for the purpose of making predictions. Assets are created whose final cash value
is tied to a particular event, outcome or parameter (e.g., total sales next
quarter). The current market prices can then be interpreted as predictions of
the probability of the event or the expected value of the parameter.
People who buy low and sell high are rewarded for improving
the market prediction, while those who buy high and sell low are punished for
degrading the market prediction. Evidence so far suggests that prediction
markets are at least as accurate as other institutions predicting the same
events with a similar pool of participants.
One of the oldest and most famous is the University of Iowa's Iowa Electronic Market. It has been predicting the results of American presidential elections since 1988 with greater accuracy than polling companies. Prediction markets were championed in James Surowiecki's 2004 book The Wisdom of Crowds. Prediction markets are speculated to be useful decision support tools for corporations. (Wikipedia)
What are Collective Intelligence
Networks?
Collective Intelligence Networks (CIN) are an
entirely new way to share, trade and aggregate information. They embrace complex
social networks, collaboration and market dynamics to achieve fundamental
increases in human capacity for learning, reasoning, understanding, aptitude and
adaptation. CINs furnish a new capability infrastructure comprised of human
relationships, diverse, far reaching information and markets, creating
effective, fast-moving, and social information interchanges. This capability
propels optimization and mastery of complex information and knowledge ecologies.
Collective intelligence Networks are growing rapidly. These
networks help companies, schools, governments, and individuals to acquire, to
create and lead ever-growing bodies of knowledge. Through a ceaseless flurry of
self-organizing value exchanges, wikis, blogs and information markets, these
stunning network capabilities achieve mastery of collective intelligence with
breathtaking speed, accuracy and continuity.
Collective intelligence networks continuously amass, codify,
refine and advance knowledge. Open, value-based networks enable far better
decision making about product launches, features, policies and myriad other
critical questions facing organizations, businesses, the environment and civil
society.
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